Archive for the 'poker' Category
Goodbye online poker?
Five links (9/10)
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businessweek wrote an article on the best places to launch a career and i almost puked on myself (even though my new employer made the list, though since i didn’t start my career there i’m completely screwed). lists like this are so absurd that i can’t don’t even want to start getting into the utter uselessness of them. how exactly do you judge the best places to launch a career? here are the criteria, in their words:
With this ranking, BusinessWeek has put together a guide to the employers that really shine. Unlike other such rankings, BusinessWeek‘s incorporates feedback from three different sources. First we surveyed directors of undergraduate career services to find out which employers were creating buzz on campus. Next we asked those finalists to complete a questionnaire about pay, benefits, retention, and training programs, which we then compared with other employers in the same industry. Finally we asked Universum Communications to supply data from its survey of more than 37,000 U.S. undergrads about the finalists at the top of their list of most desirable employers.
great. so 2/3 of your feedback is going to come from people who are students (who haven’t even started a career), from people who listen to what those students tell them, and from the companies themselves. shouldn’t they rename the article to “places that college students most want to work at”? i guess that wouldn’t have the same ring…
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honestly, i think we’d be better off getting life and career advice from people like gene weingarten at the washington post. i especially like number five, about how using the bathroom will eventually become more satisfying for me than using the bedroom. great. looking forward to it…
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you’re crazy if you thought i wasn’t going to at least MENTION opening weekend of the nfl season. the niners looked ok which, believe me, is an enormous step up from the vomit that built up every time i thought about them last year. one of these years, i’m going to actually fulfill a life dream of finding some way to watch every single nfl game in real-time on the first day of the season. it’ll be a complicated plan that will involve getting all of my friends to bring over their own tv’s while i configure an intricate wiring scheme to turn the directv signal into ten separate games, all at the same time. hopefully my niners’ll be winning again by then…
‘Short stack is power?’ revisited
i was playing in a $5-$10 no limit game and was sitting with around my starting stack at the table. i had bought in for $400 and had lost a small pot to leave me with $370. certainly 37 big blinds fell well within my range of ‘small stack cash game play’, so i was fine.
in late position, i picked up AcJs behind an extremely loose player who had raised to $30. he had me covered by a lot and i felt that i had a good read on his style of play. i called in position and the big blind called as well. the flop came down Jc-3d-4h. a great flop with me, with no flush draw and no real straight draws. after the big blind checked, the loose player put out a bet of $90. i was certain that i had the best hand given the player’s style and figured that i was looking at a J with a worse kicker. the big blind looked as though he was ready to fold.
in thinking over the situation, i debated between calling his bet of $90 (leaving me with $250 behind) or raising him immediately. i elected to call, wanting to make sure that i got all my money in against his probable 2- or 3-outter. this is, in fact, the small stack approach: find places to double through other players at the table. when the turn came with a blank and he stuck a bet of $150, i moved in for $100 more and he quickly called. he did, in fact, have J9 and i doubled up. hooray, right?
a couple of weeks later, as i thought about the play of the hand, i started to realize where the ‘small stack cash game’ approach fails. in the hand described above, i had a great read on the player and the amount of money that i won was capped only by the size of my stack. if i had started the hand with $500, i probably would also have been able to double through him. in fact, even if i had started the hand with $800, i might have been able to double through him. my edge over him was substantial, but i had handcuffed myself by limiting my own value in the hand by having a small stack.
at the same time, the opposite is also true. if my opponent had held a hand like QQ, leaving my stack size at $350 would have limited my loss in the hand. but when you have great positive EV in a game or against a player, why would you be interested in limiting the magnitude of your wins?
as i thought back on my no limit cash game play from the week, the first things i remembered were the horrific bad beats. but as i reviewed the play further, i came to realize that the size of those bad beats were huge because i didn’t always get full value out of other hands where i was certain to be a huge favorite. poker’s a difficult game with lots of ambiguity. in the cases where you know and like where you stand, wouldn’t it make sense to get as much of your money out there as possible?
playing with a large stack takes careful understanding of the intricacies of hands. it’s substantially more difficult than playing a small stack in a cash game. but if you’re comfortable with your standing in the game, buying in for a substantial stack can make more sense because of the added value from your winning hands. at the end of the day, it depends. the size of your buy-in for a cash game is contingent upon not just the size of the blinds, but on your playing style, your edge in the game, and your ability to skirt past tricky hands. there are many factors to consider and i was wrong: a short stack is not always power…
4am musings…
financial nerdiness – i think one sign that you’ve become a personal finance nerd is if you actually think the following sentence to yourself when reviewing your new employer’s benefits: “oh sweet, we offer a roth 401(k). this is so fucking bomb.” note to self: describing a roth 401(k) as ‘fucking bomb’ is not only strange, but also probably inaccurate. i’m not sure where that tidbit was going, but hey, it’s 4:17am.
poker’s easy. sometimes. – i was playing in a 45-person sit-and-go to kill some time this afternoon, when i found 3d3h on the button with two limpers in front of me. i limped, the small blind called, and the big blind checked. as i looked back at the table a few seconds later, i did a double-take as i saw the flop 3c-2s-3s. yahtzee! but all four player checked to me. i tossed in a bet of about 1/4 of the pot to get the action going and had three callers. as i worried about how to get all of the money into the middle (we were pretty deep-stacked and i had all three players covered), the As rolled off on the turn, putting three spades on the board. before i even had a chance to act, the small blind pushed all-in (for about 3 times the pot), and the next two players also pushed all of their money into the pot. after i paused to make sure i wasn’t seeing things, i called and saw them flip over (in succession) KsQs, 2d2c, AdAc. amazing. sometimes poker’s so easy
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filed under ‘cool’: flickr geotagging – i know that it’s officially part of the enemy, but i’m still a flickr user. and, as a flickr user, i have to admit that i think the new ‘geo-tagging’ functionality is, for lack of a better word, ‘cool’. i just happen to hate the name (geo-tagging? can’t there be a better name than that?). i’d tell you what it is, but maybe it’s easier to just show you my photo map. note that not all my photos are geo-tagged yet, but i think it’s pretty neat anyway. it’s not going to change anybody’s life, but (as you all know) i love visualizing information in clever ways. this would qualify.
australia, here i come! – and i’ll leave you with this sobering news article. yes, i am actually going to be in port douglas in, oh, about three weeks. really good for the worry-meter there…
Everybody’s rooting for Allen Cunningham
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Lesson #3: Tell Better Stories
what does that have to do with a week of poker? a few months ago, i had a conversation with a few friends where i noted that i hadn’t done very many ‘notable things’ (actual words) since i left school. i felt like i could count the number of such events on one hand. as you can imagine, that was in fact the conversation that sparked my plan to live in las vegas for a week, and it worked. twenty years from now, i’ll look back on the week that i spent living out of a suitcase in harrah’s as a great experience. i’ll fondly recount the time that i got all my chips into a huge pot as a 9:1 favorite and subsequently got crushed. well, maybe not fondly, but you know what i mean. i’m glad i spent that week because i was doing something notable (in my own mind) that i loved. sure i was in a rush to win chips, but it’s more that i was in a rush to do something that i wanted to do. i’m pretty sure ‘father of pseudostoops’ didn’t think he’d be playing beach volleyball for his whole life, but it was something he wanted to do.
now all of that is great, but what’s the actual implication for me? well, i used to at least believe in the idea of a Deferred Life plan. ‘save now so you can enjoy it later.’ ‘put in time at work now while you’re young.’ ‘get started on your career early.’ ‘work here for a few years until you’re ready to go to business school. THEN you can do whatever it is you want.’ actually pretty much anything that starts with ‘do this for a few _______ until you ______.’ all of these ideas are some variant of a Deferred Life plan. and i now think they are all bullshit. working in a job that you don’t like for some kind of other benefit (money, ladder-climbing, early retirement, etc.)? that’s bullshit. when i’m 60 years old, i’m not really interested in sitting around sunning myself in my huge mansion, happy that i saved so much money in my 20′s. i’m not into Deferred Life plans anymore. money is far less important than not wasting time. the tagline i like the most? Tell Better Stories.
so what am i planning in the next couple of months to not let that time slip away?
- taking a new job (more on that later)
- visiting a new continent
- playing more poker
there’ll be a time in my life when i’ll have to do lots of things that i don’t want to do. there’ll be time for compromises and sacrifices. i’m 24, that time’s not now. i’m way too young to be doing things that i don’t want to do.
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Hand of last week
the flop came 8-8-3, with one heart. everyone checked to me and i made a standard bet with position. all the players called. $36 in the pot.
the turn came with the A of spades. gin! i thought i probably had the best hand even on the flop, but i’d find out now for sure. the blinds checked and ivy checked. i, of course, bet and got one caller from the blinds and ivy sneakily flat-called me. $54 in the pot.
on the river came a 9. clearly i was going to bet here for value when it inevitably checked around to me… until ivy bet INTO me. what the hell? i looked at her trying to see if she had slowplayed an 8. i thought i told her not to play most hands with an 8 or lower in it. could she have 99 and hit a boat? maybe a worse A? she bum-rushed me into calling by laughing at me (clearly a sophisticated reverse tell) and dragged the $66 pot when she showed me the stone-cold cooler of A8.
kids these days, they learn so fast…
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Lesson #2: A Healthy Disregard for Money
i sat down at a $5-$10 NL cash game last tuesday at the wynn, and immediately the difference from 2-5 was evident. guys were sitting at the table with mounds of chips, and 3-inch thick wads of 100′s behind them. i asked one player how much he had back there, and he absentmindedly replied, “about 25.” that’s not 25 hundred (incidentally, i realized quickly that my ‘short-stack’ thoughts on cash games is slightly incorrect. i’d write on this, but you’d be bored).
in the first hand i watched, i got some insight into what ivey meant. two players raised and re-raised each other before the flop and saw an AKQ flop. the first player, clearly a high-action asian guy of about 21, pushed in for about $900 into a $600 pot and the other player (an older tight guy) called instantly. i was positive that they would be flipping over set vs. set, or at the very least AK, which is in fact what the tight player showed. i jumped out of my chair when the asian guy flipped over 9T and rivered a J. he justified the play by saying, “i thought he had jacks or tens,” while he nonchalantly stacked about $2000 in chips.
now i’m not saying that 9T guy made a good play that will be profitable in the long run. he made a play at a pot with four outs. it was reckless and he got lucky. but he made a play at a pot without fear, based purely on a (very incorrect) read. is it a much more reasonable play with a flop like 673? probably. but his disregard for $1200 of his own money was telling.
after a few hours, i was finally comfortable at the stakes. but in retrospect, comfortable isn’t the right word. it’s just that i had “forgotten” the stakes that were in play. i know it sounds weird, but once you’ve been in the game for a few hours, you no longer worry about how much you bought in for. you just play poker. i’m not sure if that’s the disregard for money that phil ivey was talking about, but i think it might be.
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A new remedy for bad beats…
Lesson #1: Poker is Tiring
about twenty minutes later, with another reasonable stack, i re-raised the hyper-aggressive norwegian guy on my right (Norway, for short) to $65 with KK, after he had raised to $20 with (probably) a shit hand. i knew Norway was an idiot and was glad to play my whole stack against him when (i imagined) he would inevitably push me in for $200. but things changed when the solid player in the SB (Solid, for short) re-raised to $250 even in the easiest motion i had ever seen. as Norway decided whether or not to call with KcTc (by the way kids, KT is a crap hand), i studied Solid, trying to figure out if he was strong or just trying to re-steal (since i very well could have been stealing from the donkey). he looked very strong.
because this is a story about how being tired can affect your play, you obviously know what happened. Norway laid down his monster two-card royal flush draw and i stuck my chips in the pot senselessly as a heavy dog. if there was ever a time to lay down kings before the flop, this was it. given a fresh brain with my read on the situation, KK is a tough but sensible fold. given a tired brain twenty minutes after a sick beat, KK is unfortunately an instant call. and subsequently an instant loss. i actually knew even before my chips got into the pot: poker is tiring and i can never get kings to catch up on aces.
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