Archive for the 'technology' Category
Thinking Long-term
I love reading articles that question if Twitter is going to make money. It seems like everyone in the entire world has published a piece like that lately. I’ve even had, oh, 5-10 different people ask me how I thought Twitter would make money (maybe because I’ve always stated I thought it could be huge), though generally it’s asked in either an accusatory or skeptical tone.
Look, there are a lot of barriers to becoming a multi-billion dollar business with a sustainable, high-margin, defensible business that “prints money” (though Twitter seem to think it’ll build one). You can count on a hand or two the Internet companies that have done it. But I always find it humorous when a journalist who has talked to a few commentators, or a random person on the street who has thought about a company for a few minutes announces triumphantly that they don’t know how the product will monetize efficiently.
A few weeks ago, I came upon a BusinessWeek article that talked about a young, hyper-growth Internet company. It read:
But how will [the company] ever make money? There’s the rub. The company’s adamant refusal to use banner or other graphical ads eliminates what is the most lucrative income stream for rival [Internet properties].
It was an article that succinctly conveyed the popular opinion of the company at the time and made a number of cynical assumptions about how the company was ignoring some fairly common ways to make money.
And of course, the article was about Google.
Google. Current Market Cap: $138B
Now I’m not saying Twitter will be as big as Google or even that they’ll become *just* a large business. There are a ton of hurdles for it to get there, not the least of which is not stifling its growth by spending energy putting banner ads on twitter.com when so many of Twitter users don’t even use the website. But think about this:
- (Tens or Hundreds of?) Thousands of businesses are already using Twitter for customer service, PR, and marketing.
- Hundreds of thousands of businesses are wondering how to use Twitter to get their message out more effectively. They’re trying new things and clamoring for better tools.
Now if you can’t think of a way to make money in an environment like that when you’re sitting on top of one of the fastest-growing Internet properties in history, then you’re either not thinking hard enough or… worse.
As a Twitter user, I’m glad they’re, as Jeff Bezos said in video yesterday, “Thinking Long-term.” Now if they’re still not making money a year from now, well… good luck to them
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(As an aside, it’s fitting that the Zappos CEO happens to be one of the best examples of using Twitter effectively in business: http://twitter.com/Zappos)
No commentsGoogle Latitude: Could be the start of a big deal
It seems like folks in the Silicon Valley have been talking about the promise of mobile technologies and location-based services (LBS, for short) as long as I can remember. “Golly, just imagine when you’ll be able to walk down the street and randomly decide that you need some crack immediately, so you pull out your hologram mobile phone which will render a visual avatar (Star Wars-style) which will tell you where the nearest drug dealer is to score some rock. Won’t that be amazing?”
With that being said, and given a healthy amount of accompanying skepticism and cynicism, I dare say that location-based services really are on the cusp of mainstream. Just yesterday, Google launched this Loopt-lookalike called Google Latitude which essentially lets you stalk the shit out of your friends, assuming that they either a) mis-read the directions and accidentally consent to getting stalked, or b) actually let you see where they are.
What does that mean? Yesterday, when I arrived home in Palo Alto, I casually saw that my buddy Ben, who lives in San Francisco but whose girlfriend lives in Palo Alto, happened to be just a few blocks away at that exact moment. Kinda neat, yeah? We could meet up for a beer. And… that’s about the only useful real-world application I’ve found for the thing so far. That’s not to say stalking Husband of Pseudostoops as he commutes from Chicago to Evanston and back over Google Latitude isn’t fun, but it really isn’t a real use case beyond idle entertainment.
But I think Latitude is an enabler, not an actual application. And while products like Loopt were pushing in that direction, the truth is that starting up a service like that from scratch can take a while (even Twitter took years to get where it is now) and a catalyst like the latent email address books of millions of Gmail users is not a meaningless thing (though some folks who cry about Google copying Loopt would want you to believe that a product head start is all that matters). By the way, isn’t Google being pretty smart about leveraging that asset as a social network/graph these days?
Ultimately Latitude (and similar services) will only become really useful when really useful stuff is built on top of it. Anyone who’s seen Yelp on an iPhone knows that. Well, what are those applications? They’re literally everywhere if you think hard enough. I want a weather map that tells me exactly what’s going to happen within 100 feet of where I am in the next hour (without typing a bunch of shit in). I want to find 10 dudes within a mile radius who want to go play some pick-up basketball around the corner. I want to see a map of all the open parking spots within four blocks of this god forsaken place and reserve one for myself. See? That took 15 seconds to come up with those.
This could be the start of a big deal… or all of those crack addicts will have to keep picking their stuff up the normal way.
No comments5 Simplifying Principles for 2009
I’ve gotten some random pings from folks lately asking:
- What happened to that crazy lifestyle eating change you were on? Are you still doing that?
- Have any New Year’s Resolutions?
Good questions both. One quick note, I usually do 5 New Year’s Resolutions every year, but I don’t call them that because it sounds like they’re afterthoughts and the word ‘resolution’ now has a loaded connotation of ‘IMPENDING COMPLETE FAILURE COMING MOMENTARILY’.
Instead, I usually call them ’simplifying principles’ because they’re things I’d really like to actively focus on this year and they’re meant to simplify my life, not add some additional thing I won’t remember to do. Before I get to those…
The Eating Thing
If you’ll remember, last year I attempted (mostly successfully) to undo 26 years of awful eating habits and prepare myself for the distinct eventuality that the next 30 years of my life are going to consist of: 1) working a lot, and 2) a gradually slowing metabolism. Let’s be very clear about this: I know of (maybe) five Asian males over the age of 35 who are not noticeably overweight. That’s it. If you’re Asian and your Dad is not overweight, then I’ll take your word for it and add him to the list, though he’s probably already one of the five.
With that backdrop, and because I often like to pit myself in games of will power against myself, I spent some time reading up on “What does eating healthy really MEAN?” last year and then attempted to live by that for 12 months. The results were largely good and I think the number of meals I strayed was probably less than 30.
This year I’ve made one slight adjustment to the approach, which I don’t think will make a material difference in practice, but I think will make an enormous difference in my personal mental state when driving by an In-n-Out. And that leads me to the five simplifying principles (of course non-work-related):
- Eat healthy (as defined in 2008), with the exception that for every week in which I work out 3+ times, I get one free meal to eat whatever I want. Hopefully for all parties involved, that will be 52 weeks.
- Write a short story. This was originally “Write more,” but in the name of setting actionable, measurable principles. Regardless, “Write more” is baked into this.
- Read and thoughtfully review at least 12 books
- Visit at least one new foreign country
- Launch a couple (at least 2) useful, interesting sites
I would have added a sixth and a seventh (”Tailgate at least 10 times” and “Lower the beer to other beverages ratio”), but a) they seemed to work directly against one another, b) the seventh is pretty much covered by my #1, and c) I just really wasn’t ready to commit to seven different principles.
Let’s all have a solid 2009, people.
1 commentNFL 2008 Picks: Week 15
Big weekend for NFL-watching as I’ll be in Las Vegas placing wagers on these games and my fantasy team will be locked in a mortal death match with Kingsley’s:

As you can see, it would be a total travesty if that squad was to lose to CharlesHaleyFanClub. I also have to remember to pack my Brent Jones jersey for Vegas so I can scream obscenities at Dolphins fans and come off as a passionate fan instead of a crazy person.
Last week: 7-9
Overall Season Results: 110-96-2
Thursday posted Wednesday evening
NO (+2.5) at CHI
Cold weather and Chicago’s tough at home. They should be pretty jacked up in a game with huge playoff implications. Edit (3:13pm Pacific): actually, I made that pick and now have this sick feeling the Saints are going to run it up. I’m switching it up. After all, who has Chicago beaten?
Pick: NO
Sunday
GB (-2.5) at JAX
Two struggling teams, but the Jaguars are a disaster, losing games and skill position players left and right.
Pick: GB
DET (+17) at IND
Haven’t heard many folks jumping on the Indy bandwagon as a Super Bowl possibility yet, so I’ll stake my claim to it now.
Pick: IND
WAS (-7) at CIN
Cincinnati is terrible and the ‘Skins are angry.
Pick: WAS
TB (+3) at ATL
Apparently that Tampa defense CAN be run on. The Bucs haven’t played well on the road.
Pick: ATL
SF (+6.5) at MIA
In all likelihood, not having Gore will prove to be a huge issue, but Miami’s been having some trouble blowing folks out. If the spread looks like this in Vegas, I’ll probably tease this a point and pair it with the under on 41. Should be a pretty good defensive football game.
Pick:
SEA (-3) at STL
Both team have been awful, though St. Louis has been significantly worse. True story: in one of my old Madden franchises in college, I turned Seneca Wallace into a 5-time Pro Bowler for the 49ers at QB before he became too expensive to keep.
Pick: SEA
BUF (+7) at NYJ
I’m a firm believer you can’t win games with JP Losman. Jets are poised for a big bounce-back week after two pretty embarrassing losses on the road.
Pick: NYJ
TEN (-3) at HOU
I’ve been liking what Houston has been doing, but not this much.
Pick: TEN
PIT (+2.5) at BAL
I like both these teams, but at the end of the day you really just have to trust Big Ben a little more than a rookie going against the #1 defense, don’t you?
Pick: PIT
DEN (+7.5) at CAR
Feels like this game has ‘letdown’ written all over it.
Pick: DEN
SD (-5.5) at KC
I’m sticking with the Norv Turner Rule.
Pick: KC
MIN (+3) at ARI
Arizona seemingly has the right kind of offense (read: heavy on the pass) to attack the Minnesota defense. Their run defense is also surprisingly solid.
Pick: ARI
NWE (-7) at OAK
Even the battered Patriots should be able to run on Oakland. When you pair that with what will probably be an inability by the Raiders to take advantage of the Patriots’ injuries on defense…
Pick: NWE
NYG (+3) at DAL
No Brandon Jacobs, but probably a strong bounce-back game by the Giants in this one. Odd to see an 11-2 team getting 3 points.
Pick: NYG
Monday
CLE (+14) at PHI
This is me, not trusting the Eagles yet.
Pick: CLE
Amazon the web hosting company
This will probably only be interesting to 2 of the 5 people who read this blog, but Amazon just published on their Web Services blog a graph of bandwidth usage by Amazon Web Services versus ALL of their multi-national retail sites.

That’s a pretty amazing graph, if you think about it. That means more of their infrastructure’s bandwidth is being used by random companies and people (who pay them to use it) for their random websites than by Amazon the company itself.
Kudos to Amazon for being really innovative as the first large Internet site to find a business model selling their own infrastructure. As someone who’s playing with Google’s foray into this area (Google App Engine), I can say definitively that these technologies hold the possibility of dramatically changing things for small (or large) sites.
No commentsInternet Company Founders/Billionaires Gone Wild
As a Stanford graduate (especially from the Computer Science Department), I guess I’m supposed to think of Jerry Yang as infallible. He’s part of this group of incredibly-successful entrepreneurs to come from the School of Engineering at Stanford. You know the ones.
But in reading all the press coverage of this Microsoft-Yahoo madness, I can’t help but thinking: “Good Lord, I kind of wish the Stanford guy wasn’t running Yahoo! right now.” After all, let’s make sure we’ve got the whole scorecard filled out:
- Microsoft proposes an acquisition at 60% over Yahoo!’s market value.
- Yahoo! stock immediately flies up to the proposed acquisition price. Good times for day-traders.
- Jerry and company basically do everything humanly possible to thwart acquisition attempts. This of course includes testing out what it’d be like to sleep around with Google (Microsoft’s new gang rivals) by basically taking the Yahoo Panama Search Advertising product (which, by the way, Yahoo spent millions of dollars on in the name of catching up to Google AdWords) and lighting it on fire.
- Meanwhile, Yahoo! employees are still busy trying to interview for every possible job in the Silicon Valley.
- Saturday: Jerry goes back to Ballmer with a “counter-offer” $6/share over Microsoft’s offer of $31/share, weeks after the original offer
- Ballmer and Microsoft, presumably exasperated (or maybe just having second thoughts about acquiring a company and management team that could fuck up this scenario so badly), decides to walk.
- Yahoo! comes back with a press release that sounds nothing short of a declaration of victory. Hooray! Jerry speaks: “With the distraction of Microsoft’s unsolicited proposal now behind us, we will be able to focus all of our energies on executing the most important transition in our history.”
- Monday: the Yahoo! stock predictably tanks like mad and suddenly all of Yahoo!’s institutional investors call Jerry and The Board bad names. Apparently the “most important transition” Jerry spoke of was the transition from patient, waiting investors to angry, bloodthirsty investors. Mission Accomplished!
- Jerry comes back with the not-often-seen “Hey hey hey! It’s not our fault, we wanted to negotiate!” ploy, which is promptly followed up by the “Fuck, we didn’t even know they were offering $33/share! Can we take backsies?” strategy
Hmm, yeah, and that’s where we are now. Is anyone else thinking that maybe Jerry wishes he’d just hung out and booked a couple extra speaking gigs instead of re-inheriting this mess from Terry Semel?
I’m sure Jerry has many more pressing issues on his mind, but hopefully he’ll “get it together,” as they say in the biz. If he keeps it up at this rate we’re going to have to start mentioning him in the same breath as that other type of Stanford celebrity: Condoleezza Rice.
No commentsWP 2.5
One of my only complaints of Wordpress (since I started using it) was the god-awful admin interface that just seemed unfitting of such a high-quality product. Not only was it incredibly difficult to navigate (every task that I wanted to complete seemed like it could logically reside in four different places), but the thing was just straight up ugly to look at.
Today I updated to the newest release (Wordpress 2.5) and I was happy to see a drastically-improved admin/writer interface. It delivers on all the pretty pictures from the sneak peek a few weeks ago and (more importantly) it’s greatly streamlined.
There goes any thoughts of switching over to Movable Type!
No commentsA little bit arrogant?
I saw my first real Facebook ‘Social Ad’ today in the wild on my news feed. For those of you that don’t know what it is, Facebook takes your friends’ actions on other sites (Blockbuster, Yelp, etc.) and connects them with advertising in your news feed. Here’s a picture of the ad I saw:
A friend added a movie to her queue on Blockbuster and they married it with an ad for the Blockbuster service. It’s a somewhat interesting idea, though I feel like this one ad really fails on the fact that the movie advertised isn’t even the movie my friend added (is it?).
I do give Facebook credit for trying something different – clearly there’s a play to be made around commercial implicit endorsements by friends. Honestly though, this isn’t it. Maybe if it said my friend added the movie to her queue, watched it, and loved it, (and, oh by the way, would you like to sign up for Blockbuster by Mail to watch it?).
In any case, I clicked on the little question mark, interested to see how Facebook would be explaining this, and was greeted by a little bit of an affront:
For those of you that can’t read the text, the one line I was alarmed by was:
Social Ads mean advertisements become more interesting and more tailored to you and your friends.
I have a couple of problems with this:
- The sentence is more of a statement than a suggestion, but unfortunately Facebook isn’t the one who gets to say whether something is more interesting to me. It’s a bit of arrogance that’s slightly nauseating. The implication is clearly: “Don’t be alarmed, we know what’s good for you. We will tell you what is more interesting.”
- The ad is NOT more interesting to me or, really, more tailored to me. It’s just not. *Shrug*.
It’s a small little thing, but I think there’s a certain humility that is lacking here. It’s a similar humility that is lacking from most of the choices that Facebook seems to make. When they announced the news feed, people were freaked out (probably unjustifiably so), but the official Facebook response was “Everyone calm down. You’ll get over it.” When people were freaked out by the opt-out nature of Beacon, the response was similar (and didn’t change until advertisers started getting worried).
I have a feeling it’s embedded in the culture of the company, because it seems to pop up continuously: “Don’t worry, we know what’s best for you, and we’ll let you know when we’ve decided what that is.”
2 commentsTumblr
A friend of my brother sent over an email asking for some advice on picking a blogging host/platform. He sent it to me because I’m a ‘blogger’, even though I consider myself to be nothing of the sort
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I’m just a guy who likes to write words in a semi-public place, which is something I’ve been doing since a couple of years into college. Back then I was using some crazy little site called xanga, which (for those of you that don’t know) was/is basically an online frat party for asian people… kidding… only slightly. It was/is really a livejournal for asian people.
Back then I didn’t consider myself to be any kind of a ‘blogger’ and I certainly don’t today. To me the term ‘blogger’ really only refers to online writers who use a blogging platform to write and are actively trying to procure a larger readership. In other words, they have journalistic and/or commercial intent. Me? I just like to type about a wide variety of things that have little connection to one another besides being interesting to me.
What would I do differently if I was to be a ‘blogger’? Read more
1 commentYahoo! doesn’t love users
So I finished writing that last post about Yahoo’s browser demands and finally decided, “Just to get this thing off my screen, why don’t I hit ‘Remind Me later’ and maybe ‘later’ will mean 7 months.
So I did. And the results:
Plus the yellow monstrosity remains.
You can’t make this stuff up.
1 comment
